The Impossibility of a Bayesian Liberal?

Bosworth, William and Taylor, Brad ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4375-6206 (2022) The Impossibility of a Bayesian Liberal? The Journal of Politics. ISSN 0022-3816


Abstract

Aumann’s theorem states that no individual should agree to disagree under a range of assumptions. Political liberalism appears to presuppose these assumptions with the idealized conditions of public reason. We argue that Aumann’s theorem demonstrates they nevertheless cannot be simultaneously held with what is arguably political liberalism’s most central tenet. That is, the tenet of reasonable pluralism, which implies we can rationally agree to disagree over conceptions of the good. We finish by elaborating a way of relaxing one of the theorem’s axioms that arguably lends itself to a coherent account of political liberalism, namely, the condition of indexical independence.


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Item Type: Article (Commonwealth Reporting Category C)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Additional Information: Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: Current - Faculty of Business, Education, Law and Arts - School of Business (18 Jan 2021 -)
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: Current - Faculty of Business, Education, Law and Arts - School of Business (18 Jan 2021 -)
Date Deposited: 07 Sep 2022 02:55
Last Modified: 13 Oct 2022 03:54
Uncontrolled Keywords: Aumann’s agreement theorem, political liberalism, Bayesian reasoning, public reason, indexical theory of value
Fields of Research (2020): 44 HUMAN SOCIETY > 4408 Political science > 440811 Political theory and political philosophy
50 PHILOSOPHY AND RELIGIOUS STUDIES > 5003 Philosophy > 500321 Social and political philosophy
Socio-Economic Objectives (2020): 28 EXPANDING KNOWLEDGE > 2801 Expanding knowledge > 280123 Expanding knowledge in human society
23 LAW, POLITICS AND COMMUNITY SERVICES > 2302 Government and politics > 230201 Civics and citizenship
28 EXPANDING KNOWLEDGE > 2801 Expanding knowledge > 280119 Expanding knowledge in philosophy and religious studies
Identification Number or DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/716286
URI: http://eprints.usq.edu.au/id/eprint/51130

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