Development of a probability distribution model for the LJF factors in offshore two-planar tubular DK-joints subjected to OPB moment loading

Ahmadi, Hamid ORCID: and Mayeli, Vahid (2019) Development of a probability distribution model for the LJF factors in offshore two-planar tubular DK-joints subjected to OPB moment loading. Marine Structures, 63. pp. 196-214. ISSN 0951-8339


Probability distribution models are essential for the reliability-based analysis and design of offshore structures. The objective of the present research was developing a probability distribution model for the local joint flexibility (LJF) factor, fLJF, in two-planar tubular DK-joints commonly found in jacket-type offshore wind turbines and oil/gas production platforms. A total of 324 finite element (FE) analyses were carried out on 81 FE models of DK-joints subjected to four types of out-of-plane bending (OPB) moment loads. Generated FE models were validated using the available experimental data, FE results, and design formulas. Based on the results of parametric FE study, a sample database was prepared for the fLJF values and density histograms were generated for respective samples based on the Freedman-Diaconis rule. Nine theoretical probability density functions (PDFs) were fitted to the developed histograms and the maximum likelihood (ML) method was applied to evaluate the parameters of fitted PDFs. In each case, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chi-squared tests were used to evaluate the goodness of fit. Finally, the lognormal model was proposed as the governing probability distribution function for the fLJF. After substituting the values of estimated parameters, four fully defined PDFs were presented for the fLJF in tubular DK-joints subjected to four types of OPB moment loads.

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Item Type: Article (Commonwealth Reporting Category C)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Additional Information: Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: No Faculty
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: No Faculty
Date Deposited: 27 Jul 2022 03:55
Last Modified: 27 Jul 2022 05:51
Uncontrolled Keywords: Two-planar tubular DK-Joint, Local joint flexibility (LJF), Probability distribution model, Maximum likelihood (ML) method, Goodness-of-fit tests
Fields of Research (2020): 40 ENGINEERING > 4015 Maritime engineering > 401504 Ship and platform structures (incl. maritime hydrodynamics)
40 ENGINEERING > 4005 Civil engineering > 400510 Structural engineering
49 MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES > 4905 Statistics > 490501 Applied statistics
Socio-Economic Objectives (2020): 17 ENERGY > 1708 Renewable energy > 170808 Wind energy
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