The Hidden Logic of Disinformation and the Prioritization of Alternatives

Phillips, Peter J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7094-5427 and Pohl, Gabriela ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3853-5492 (2021) The Hidden Logic of Disinformation and the Prioritization of Alternatives. Seton Hall Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, 22 (1). pp. 24-34. ISSN 1538-6589


Abstract

Both orthodox and behavioural decision theory are concerned with the prioritisation of alternative risky prospects. We are concerned with how this ranking or prioritisation process is impacted by disinformation. This might interest those who support the use of decision theory in international relations. In fact, international relations scholars were among the first to apply prospect theory, a key theoretical framework of behavioural economics, to the analysis of situations falling outside of the usual types of risky choices that interested economists. In this paper, we explain how decision theory may be used to analyse the ways in which disinformation—an old but perennial problem—may influence the decisions of individuals and groups working under conditions of risk and uncertainty. Those proponents of prospect theory’s use in political science and international relations may find it possible to incorporate part of this explanation into their analysis. It is, of course, a matter for individual scholars to determine the degree of significance accorded to the impact of micro-foundations on the direction of international affairs.


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Item Type: Article (Commonwealth Reporting Category C)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Additional Information: Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: Current - Faculty of Business, Education, Law and Arts - School of Humanities and Communication (1 Mar 2019 -)
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: Current - Faculty of Business, Education, Law and Arts - School of Humanities and Communication (1 Mar 2019 -)
Date Deposited: 31 May 2022 00:13
Last Modified: 31 May 2022 02:19
Uncontrolled Keywords: Decision Theory, International Relations, Disinformation, Decision-Making
Fields of Research (2020): 38 ECONOMICS > 3801 Applied economics > 380102 Behavioural economics
38 ECONOMICS > 3803 Economic theory > 380304 Microeconomic theory
44 HUMAN SOCIETY > 4408 Political science > 440804 Defence studies
Socio-Economic Objectives (2020): 23 LAW, POLITICS AND COMMUNITY SERVICES > 2303 International relations > 230301 Defence and security policy
23 LAW, POLITICS AND COMMUNITY SERVICES > 2303 International relations > 230305 Peace and conflict
14 DEFENCE > 1401 Defence > 140105 Intelligence, surveillance and space
14 DEFENCE > 1401 Defence > 140109 National security
URI: http://eprints.usq.edu.au/id/eprint/48672

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