Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere

Power, Scott and Saurral, Ramiro and Chung, Christine and Colman, Rob and Kharin, Viatcheslav and Boer, George and Gergis, Joelle and Henley, Benjamin and McGregor, Shayne and Arblaster, Julie and Holbrook, Neil and Liguori, Giovanni (2017) Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere. Past Global Changes Magazine, 25 (1). pp. 32-40. ISSN 2411-605X


Multi-year (2-7 years) and decadal climate variability (MDCV) can have a profound influence on lives, livelihoods and economies. Consequently, learning more about the causes of this variability, the extent to which it can be predicted, and the greater the clarity that we can provide on the climatic conditions that will unfold over coming years and decades is a high priority for the research community. This importance is reflected in new initiatives by WCRP, CLIVAR, and in the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Boer et al., 2016) that target this area of research. Here we briefly examine some of the things we know, and have recently learnt, about the causes and predictability of Southern Hemisphere MDCV (SH MDCV), and current skill in its prediction.

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Item Type: Article (Commonwealth Reporting Category C)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: No Faculty
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: No Faculty
Date Deposited: 04 Jan 2022 23:25
Last Modified: 13 Jan 2022 09:02
Uncontrolled Keywords: prediction; decadal climate variability; Southern Hemisphere
Fields of Research (2008): 04 Earth Sciences > 0401 Atmospheric Sciences > 040105 Climatology (excl.Climate Change Processes)
Fields of Research (2020): 37 EARTH SCIENCES > 3702 Climate change science > 370202 Climatology
Socio-Economic Objectives (2008): D Environment > 96 Environment > 9603 Climate and Climate Change > 960304 Climate Variability (excl. Social Impacts)
Socio-Economic Objectives (2020): 22 INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION SERVICES > 2203 Information services > 220399 Information services not elsewhere classified
19 ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY, CLIMATE CHANGE AND NATURAL HAZARDS > 1905 Understanding climate change > 190502 Climate variability (excl. social impacts)
Identification Number or DOI: doi:10.22498/pages.25.1.32

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