Power, Scott and Saurral, Ramiro and Chung, Christine and Colman, Rob and Kharin, Viatcheslav and Boer, George and Gergis, Joelle and Henley, Benjamin and McGregor, Shayne and Arblaster, Julie and Holbrook, Neil and Liguori, Giovanni (2017) Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere. Past Global Changes Magazine, 25 (1). pp. 32-40. ISSN 2411-605X
Abstract
Multi-year (2-7 years) and decadal climate variability (MDCV) can have a profound influence on lives, livelihoods and economies. Consequently, learning more about the causes of this variability, the extent to which it can be predicted, and the greater the clarity that we can provide on the climatic conditions that will unfold over coming years and decades is a high priority for the research community. This importance is reflected in new initiatives by WCRP, CLIVAR, and in the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Boer et al., 2016) that target this area of research. Here we briefly examine some of the things we know, and have recently learnt, about the causes and predictability of Southern Hemisphere MDCV (SH MDCV), and current skill in its prediction.
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