Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: characteristics, causes, predictability and prospects

Power, Scott and Lengaigne, Matthieu and Capotondi, Antonietta and Khodri, Myriam and Vialard, Jerome and Jebri, Beyrem and Guilyardi, Eric and McGregor, Shayne and Kug, Jong-Seong and Newman, Matthew and McPhaden, Michael J. and Meehl, Gerald and Smith, Doug and Cole, Julia and Emile-Geay, Julien and Vimont, Daniel and Wittenberg, Andrew T. and Collins, Mat and Kim, Geon-Il and Cai, Wenju and Okumura, Yuko and Chung, Christine and Cobb, Kim M. and Delage, Francois and Planton, Yann Y. and Levine, Aaron and Zhu, Feng and Sprintall, Janet and Di Lorenzo, Emanuele and Zhang, Xuebin and Luo, Jing-Jia and Lin, Xiaopei and Balmaseda, Magdalena and Wang, Guojian and Henley, Benjamin J. (2021) Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: characteristics, causes, predictability and prospects. Science, 374 (6563):9165. pp. 48-57. ISSN 0036-8075


Abstract

Climate variability in the tropical Pacific affects global climate on a wide range of time scales. On interannual time scales, the tropical Pacific is home to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Decadal variations and changes in the tropical Pacific, referred to here collectively as tropical Pacific decadal variability (TPDV), also profoundly affect the climate system. Here, we use TPDV to refer to any form of decadal climate variability or change that occurs in the atmosphere, the ocean, and over land within the tropical Pacific. “Decadal,” which we use in a broad sense to encompass multiyear through multidecadal time scales, includes variability about the mean state on decadal time scales, externally forced mean-state changes that unfold on decadal time scales, and decadal variations in the behavior of higher-frequency modes like ENSO.


Statistics for USQ ePrint 43952
Statistics for this ePrint Item
Item Type: Article (Commonwealth Reporting Category C)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Additional Information: Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: Current - Institute for Life Sciences and the Environment - Centre for Applied Climate Sciences (1 Aug 2018 -)
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: Current - Institute for Life Sciences and the Environment - Centre for Applied Climate Sciences (1 Aug 2018 -)
Date Deposited: 15 Nov 2021 01:49
Last Modified: 31 Aug 2022 04:17
Fields of Research (2008): 04 Earth Sciences > 0401 Atmospheric Sciences > 040104 Climate Change Processes
Fields of Research (2020): 37 EARTH SCIENCES > 3702 Climate change science > 370201 Climate change processes
Socio-Economic Objectives (2008): D Environment > 96 Environment > 9603 Climate and Climate Change > 960307 Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Australia (excl. Social Impacts)
Socio-Economic Objectives (2020): 19 ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY, CLIMATE CHANGE AND NATURAL HAZARDS > 1905 Understanding climate change > 190502 Climate variability (excl. social impacts)
Identification Number or DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aay9165
URI: http://eprints.usq.edu.au/id/eprint/43952

Actions (login required)

View Item Archive Repository Staff Only