Indeed association does not equal prediction: the never-ending search for the perfect acute: chronic workload ratio

Hulin, Billy T. and Gabbett, Tim J. (2019) Indeed association does not equal prediction: the never-ending search for the perfect acute: chronic workload ratio. British Journal of Sports Medicine, 53 (3). pp. 144-145. ISSN 0306-3674


We recently demonstrated associations between workload and injury.1 2 Regrettably, in these manuscripts, we used the words ‘predict’ and ‘predictive’ within the titles. Although we clearly used more appropriate language throughout these manuscripts, the titles of our work have resulted in a misconception that we believe the acute:chronic workload ratio can predict injury with some certainty.3 4 Our purpose for investigating workload–injury relationships in these studies was to identify workloads that practitioners could use (along with other information) to make informed decisions in regards to when injury risk may be increased or decreased—it was not our intention to imply that one variable could predict injury with crystal ball-like accuracy. We discussed at length that other variables will undoubtedly also have associations with injury,1 2 and that good athlete monitoring involves consideration of factors in addition to workload.5 However, we feel that these views may have been dismissed and, consequently, our purpose here is to provide novel perspectives and some clarity and context on the practical applications of the acute:chronic workload ratio.

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Item Type: Article (Commonwealth Reporting Category C)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Additional Information: Published version cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: No Faculty
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: No Faculty
Date Deposited: 24 Jun 2019 05:09
Last Modified: 07 Dec 2021 03:31
Uncontrolled Keywords: sporting injuries, sports and exercise medicine, training load
Fields of Research (2008): 11 Medical and Health Sciences > 1106 Human Movement and Sports Science > 110699 Human Movement and Sports Science not elsewhere classified
Fields of Research (2020): 42 HEALTH SCIENCES > 4207 Sports science and exercise > 420799 Sports science and exercise not elsewhere classified
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