Mapping heatwave vulnerability in Korea

Kim, Do-Woo and Deo, Ravinesh C. ORCID: and Lee, Jong-Seol and Yeom, Jong-Min (2017) Mapping heatwave vulnerability in Korea. Natural Hazards, 89 (1). pp. 35-55. ISSN 0921-030X


Due to the inevitable increase in temperatures that are attributable to significant climate variability and notable shifts in climate under increasing greenhouse gases, heat waves are becoming a major natural disaster. They lead to elevating incidences of human mortality, health risks, and damage to the economy, agriculture, and natural ecosystems. As a precautionary foresight to mitigate detrimental impacts of this disaster, a better understanding of regional vulnerability to heat waves is essential. This study has investigated the cumulative role of the social and climatic factors on heatwave related deaths across the 232 administrative counties in Korea. Correlation and clustering analyses performed on heatwave-related deaths and social and climatic factors indicated that the number of heatwave days, tropical nights, elderly living alone, and agricultural workers had a significant relationship with the number of heatwave-related deaths. In order to demonstrate the practicality of this approach for heatwave analysis, a spatial heatwave vulnerability map was created to identify the distribution of heatwave risk by compositing the four most significant vulnerability factors identified with regression method. Among the several available regression methods that are applied on countable data, this study has utilized zero-inflated Poisson regression because the available data on heatwave-related deaths included many zeros. The heatwave vulnerability map depicted well the actual distribution of heatwave-related deaths, particularly for counties with a large number of heatwave deaths. In light of this evidence, it is postulated that the heatwave vulnerability map can be used as a useful decision-making tool that can help facilitate efficient utilization of various disaster management resources at the national level and also to identify emphatically the heatwave-related risk over spatial scales to aid in the establishment of customized health risk precautionary measures.

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Item Type: Article (Commonwealth Reporting Category C)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Additional Information: This research was primarily supported by the National Disaster Management Research Institute (Korea). Dr RC Deo was supported by USQ Academic Division Researcher activation Incentive Scheme (RAIS; July–September 2015) grant to fund his collaboration with Dr. Do-Woo Kim.
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: Historic - Faculty of Health, Engineering and Sciences - School of Agricultural, Computational and Environmental Sciences (1 Jul 2013 - 5 Sep 2019)
Faculty/School / Institute/Centre: Historic - Faculty of Health, Engineering and Sciences - School of Agricultural, Computational and Environmental Sciences (1 Jul 2013 - 5 Sep 2019)
Date Deposited: 30 Jun 2017 04:19
Last Modified: 01 Apr 2021 05:17
Uncontrolled Keywords: mapping heatwave vulnerability; zero-inflated Poisson regression analysis; spatial heatwave risk
Fields of Research (2008): 04 Earth Sciences > 0401 Atmospheric Sciences > 040102 Atmospheric Dynamics
04 Earth Sciences > 0406 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience > 040604 Natural Hazards
05 Environmental Sciences > 0502 Environmental Science and Management > 050205 Environmental Management
Fields of Research (2020): 37 EARTH SCIENCES > 3701 Atmospheric sciences > 370105 Atmospheric dynamics
37 EARTH SCIENCES > 3709 Physical geography and environmental geoscience > 370903 Natural hazards
41 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES > 4104 Environmental management > 410404 Environmental management
Socio-Economic Objectives (2008): D Environment > 96 Environment > 9610 Natural Hazards > 961010 Natural Hazards in Urban and Industrial Environments
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