The science and policy of climate variability and climate change: intersections and possibilities

Cockfield, Geoff and Dovers, Stephen (2013) The science and policy of climate variability and climate change: intersections and possibilities. In: Drought, risk management, and policy: decision-making under uncertainty. Drought and Water Crises. Taylor & Francis (CRC Press), Boca Raton, FL. United States, pp. 29-44. ISBN 978-1-4398-7629-9


Drought policies have generally been attempts to manage, adapt to, and ameliorate the impacts of climate variability with the assumption that this is variability around long-term averages in rainfall, temperatures, and crop and water yields. As noted in Chapter 1, this results in either or both reac­tive policies to address the effects of particular droughts and anticipatory policies to encourage resources managers to prepare for dry periods. With the emergence of concerns about climate change, discussions of drought policy will increasingly have to consider both variability and the possibility of underlying long-term changes in the key climatic variables-that is, non­ stationarity. This chapter will first review the points where the sciences relat­ing to climate change and climate variability are intersecting. Second, the policy implications of adjusting to increased variability and, in some cases, increasing drought frequency are considered. Third, there is a discussion of the ways in which popular narratives about drought and climate change interact, with a particular focus on the ways that resource users interpret the two phenomena and in some cases use one (drought) to refute the other (climate change).

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Item Type: Book Chapter (Commonwealth Reporting Category B)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Additional Information: Permanent restricted access to published version due to publisher copyright policy.
Faculty / Department / School: Historic - Faculty of Business and Law - School of Accounting, Economics and Finance
Date Deposited: 15 Jul 2013 06:39
Last Modified: 02 May 2017 01:29
Uncontrolled Keywords: climate change; government policy; drought proofing; mitigation
Fields of Research : 16 Studies in Human Society > 1605 Policy and Administration > 160510 Public Policy
04 Earth Sciences > 0401 Atmospheric Sciences > 040105 Climatology (excl.Climate Change Processes)
07 Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences > 0701 Agriculture, Land and Farm Management > 070101 Agricultural Land Management
Socio-Economic Objective: D Environment > 96 Environment > 9603 Climate and Climate Change > 960301 Climate Change Adaptation Measures
C Society > 94 Law, Politics and Community Services > 9402 Government and Politics > 940204 Public Services Policy Advice and Analysis

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