Visioning 2035: the future of the higher education sector in the UK

Blass, Eddie and Jasman, Anne and Shelley, Steve (2010) Visioning 2035: the future of the higher education sector in the UK. Futures, 42 (5). pp. 445-453. ISSN 0016-3287

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The concept of 'university' has been around for centuries and yet the majority of British Universities have yet to reach their 50th birthday. The higher education sector has been through extensive change over a relatively short period of time and this is likely to continue in the future. This paper presents the results of a futures study focussed on the Higher Education sector in the UK in 10 and 25 years time. Following an extensive, broad ranging literature review covering business, education, futures, and socio-political texts and studies, a series of scenarios were developed for the future of the sector as a whole. This study differs from other studies in its field as it is does not focus on individual institutions, but rather at the environmental factors that are going to impact on the sector, setting out a range of scenarios within which institutions will need to shape their individual futures. Five scenarios are presented in this paper with their underlying driving factors, and their implications for the academic workforce being employed in the sector.

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Item Type: Article (Commonwealth Reporting Category C)
Refereed: Yes
Item Status: Live Archive
Additional Information: Author version not held.
Faculty / Department / School: Historic - Faculty of Education
Date Deposited: 10 Mar 2011 23:30
Last Modified: 10 Oct 2014 05:30
Uncontrolled Keywords: futures; academic workforce; higher education; scenarios; scenario planning
Fields of Research : 16 Studies in Human Society > 1605 Policy and Administration > 160506 Education Policy
13 Education > 1301 Education Systems > 130103 Higher Education
15 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services > 1503 Business and Management > 150307 Innovation and Technology Management
Socio-Economic Objective: C Society > 93 Education and Training > 9399 Other Education and Training > 939908 Workforce Transition and Employment
Identification Number or DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.029

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