Prospect 2000: Australia in a world context: paper presented to 150th Anniversary Conference Prospect 2000, West Australian Division of ANZAAS, Perth, May 14 to May 18, 1979

Abstract

[Abstract]: The range of scenarios evaluated by the existing form of a model of the global economy sets the scene for planned experiments focussing on the impact of world development on the Australian environment and its natural resources. The model considers a world divided into a variable number of regions and production sectors and at present gives special emphasis to the constraints caused by the depletion of natural resources. Before turning to some preliminary results pertaining to Australia we consider briefly the national and international nature of the research network so far established in conducting this project. Preliminary results pertaining to Australia are presented. These show patterns of potential trade in food, energy and minerals between the various regions of the world and Australia. The paper concludes with perspectives on the contributions of work of this nature for policy analysis within government.