The value of an integrated approach to climate applications modelling

Abstract

Integrated forecasting systems have the capability to radically improve operational decision making in many areas of management. In particular, recent developments in connecting numerical weather prediction models and general circulation models with quantitative crop growth models offer the potential for development of integrated climate-crop production systems that incorporate components of long-term climate change. Simulation analyses that involve integrated approaches conducted on specific production scenarios are especially useful in improving decisions, particularly if this is done in conjunction with development of targeted decision support systems. Application of seasonal forecast systems and climate applications systems across the whole value chain in a production system offers considerable benefits in improving overall operational management of a production system.